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Alteryx Designer Desktop Discussions

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Can someone explain why my Time Series (ARIMA, ETS) are flatlining and how to resolve?

AkisM
10 - Fireball

I'm attaching my workflow below.

Basically I have monthly sales data for 4 years. I split my dataset to first 2 years and next 2 years using a filter tool.

I try to compare ARIMA to ETS, but both models are flatlining. Can someone assist please?

2 REPLIES 2
gawa
16 - Nebula
16 - Nebula

@AkisM 

By changing configuration related to "seasonal" option, it shows some trend anyway, though I don't fully understand its mechanism😅 

image.png

aatalai
14 - Magnetar

@AkisM an aside but I would suggest only using 6-9 months to test the model and the rest for training rather splitting it 2year and 2 years

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