Challenge #132: When Will Community Hit 1,000,000 Posts?

[JoeM]

Happy 3rd Anniversary Community! It has been a wild and crazy three years. Now let's see what the future of Community looks like. In the workflow, the data represents the number of posts posted on a monthly basis. Note that the first record contains a count of posts before 2017-01-01 and each record thereafter represents a month between 2017-01-01 and 2018-08-01. Your job is to forecast (ARIMA) in what future month Community will surpass the 1 Million post milestone using the high end of the 80% confidence interval (because we are optimists). Sound off what you got!

 An Anniversary Worth Celebrating

[patrick_digan]

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I've got June of 2023, but that doesn't agree with the output so I may have overlooked something...

[kat]

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[neilgallen]

I'm with everyone else. Different date result.

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[ckings]

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Unsure on this one. I got June 2023 coming in at 1009155.422276 posts. Wasn't a match to the projected answer so excited to see what the answer is! May have my configuration wrong? 

[JoeM]

Post updated (new expected answer matching above users)! I forgot to include the monthly data as a part of the running total.

.Face Palm

[danilang]

What they said!

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June, 2023

Dan

[pjdit]

Fun Challenge..  first time I've used those tools.  always good to learn new tools..

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[CharlieS]

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I felt like doing some date formatting.

[TylerNa]

I'm curious to see/know how close this prediction ends up being!

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