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ARIMA forecast is the same for a 6-month period

Safwan
5 - Atom

I have been trying to predict sales volume for the next 6 months using the ARIMA model with the given data; 

Safwan_0-1636871609586.png

I have kept the default settings for both the ARIMA model and the TS Forecast but my forecasts are the same for all 6 months. 

Safwan_3-1636871812911.png

 

 

Workflow:

Safwan_2-1636871748586.png

I would really appreciate if anyone can help me figure out where I am going wrong. 

 

Thank you. 

1 REPLY 1
danilang
19 - Altair
19 - Altair

hi @Safwan 

 

It's almost impossible to tell from just images that are attached.  Can you include the initial workflow that you made as well as the mock data file?   Another issue is that you only have data for one year.  There's no way to determine if there are seasonality effects with only one year of data.

 

Dan 

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