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SUBMISSION INSTRUCTIONSAfter hurricanes Irma and Maria, Atkins, a contractor to the US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) used Alteryx to blend over a dozen GIS and tabular data sets to predict the extent of structural damage. The model was updated and revised daily to improve the quality of predictions, saving thousands of hours of field work and expanding recovery and reconstruction efforts in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Following hurricanes Irma and Maria, FEMA needed to inspect all impacted buildings within the Special Flood Hazard Area to determine if they were more than fifty percent damaged. Historically, this has been a very labor-intensive process that required a team of two to three people spend an hour at each damaged structure to conduct inspections. The sheer size of the disaster made this an impossible task. It would take several years to get through all the buildings using the traditional process.
The strategy was to use Alteryx to estimate the structural damage that had occurred, prioritize areas that still needed some sort of human inspection, and ultimately reduce the total number of in-person inspections so that the recovery process could begin quickly. Alteryx was used to blend over a dozen data sets and the following variables to predict damage:
- Building style
- Wind speed
- Flood levels
- Elevation levels
- Structure type
- Wind exposure
- Construction quality
Atkins determined that they needed to get three functional groups of teams out to the field quickly. The first team used a geographic information system (GIS) to find the locations of damaged structures. The second team collected the information on the structures, and the third team built the analytics model in Alteryx.
The data that was feeding the model came from very disparate sources. They accessed data from the European Union, NOAA, the National Weather Service, FEMA, and the Army Corps of Engineers. This data was stored in various formats that required cleansing prior to blending, and creation of indices between the data set. Alteryx was used for all of these tasks.
Atkins ultimately decided to use the Boosted Regression Decision Tree model in Alteryx. The Engineering Team loved the output from this model as it showed all the variables and which ones were the most important. While many variables were obvious, like building type and roof type, others were less expected. The team could see the relationships between the variables and gather more data if new factors were discovered.
As they got deeper into the analysis, they started to see things that were not quite as intuitive. For example, they noticed the areas that were oriented northeast and northwest on ridge-lines got a lot more damage. The Atkins engineers knew that there were effects from the mountains. That's a well-known factor in wind engineering, however, it would have been almost impossible to quantify given the time available. The model did a great job of illustrating that information.