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Challenge #24: ARIMA Time Series

11 - Bolide

As mentioned by others, slightly different values -- I changed "units" to double to be able to use the decimals in the average. Took me ages to realize I needed the TS forecast to visualize output...

15 - Aurora
15 - Aurora

Predictive can vex and perplex me... but here it is. Solution attached.


challenge_24 - Snip.PNG
12 - Quasar

Solution attached.

5 - Atom

Done! In my solution I first checked how the ARIMA performed against the ETS model by scoring each against the last 6 weeks of withheld data and then used the scored ARIMA model's settings instead of AUTO settings as these may be different to the scored model. This is perhaps the reason why some get slightly different results as the settings aren't set manually.

11 - Bolide

Slightly different results, partly because I changed Units to "double" to take the monthly/yearly average 

7 - Meteor

my solution is very similar to some of the others. time series forecast made easy! 




8 - Asteroid

That was a fun one! I might have to bring this tool combo into my daily work...

Week 24.png
8 - Asteroid

Also got some minor differences to the answer due to field type rounding I believe. Thanks!

16 - Nebula
16 - Nebula

Challenge Completed

11 - Bolide

Solution attached. The was my first exposure to the predictive tools, and it was very useful. I first did this problem a couple of months ago, and it worked fine. However, I was reviewing it recently on a new laptop, and the ARIMA tool was throwing an error. I see that a couple of others have encountered the error too.




I hope Alteryx can figure out how to reproduce and resolve it.