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Challenge #132: When Will Community Hit 1,000,000 Posts?

JoeM
Alteryx Alumni (Retired)

Happy 3rd Anniversary Community! It has been a wild and crazy three years. Now let's see what the future of Community looks like. In the workflow, the data represents the number of posts posted on a monthly basis. Note that the first record contains a count of posts before 2017-01-01 and each record thereafter represents a month between 2017-01-01 and 2018-08-01. Your job is to forecast (ARIMA) in what future month Community will surpass the 1 Million post milestone using the high end of the 80% confidence interval (because we are optimists). Sound off what you got!

 An Anniversary Worth CelebratingAn Anniversary Worth Celebrating

patrick_digan
17 - Castor
17 - Castor
Spoiler
I've got June of 2023, but that doesn't agree with the output so I may have overlooked something...
Capture.PNG
kat
12 - Quasar
Spoiler
Challenge #132.PNG
neilgallen
12 - Quasar

I'm with everyone else. Different date result.

Spoiler
workflow.PNGresults window.PNG

 

ckings
7 - Meteor
Spoiler
Unsure on this one. I got June 2023 coming in at 1009155.422276 posts. Wasn't a match to the projected answer so excited to see what the answer is! May have my configuration wrong? 
wk132.PNG
JoeM
Alteryx Alumni (Retired)

Post updated (new expected answer matching above users)! I forgot to include the monthly data as a part of the running total.

.Face PalmFace Palm

danilang
19 - Altair
19 - Altair

What they said!

 

Spoiler
June, 2023

solution 132.png

Dan

pjdit
8 - Asteroid

Fun Challenge..  first time I've used those tools.  always good to learn new tools..

 

Spoiler
Challenge_132_Spoiler.JPG
CharlieS
17 - Castor
17 - Castor

 

Spoiler
I felt like doing some date formatting.
132.png








TylerNa
10 - Fireball

I'm curious to see/know how close this prediction ends up being!

Spoiler
Alteryx WC132TN.png