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Challenge #132: When Will Community Hit 1,000,000 Posts?

JoeM
Alteryx Alumni (Retired)

Happy 3rd Anniversary Community! It has been a wild and crazy three years. Now let's see what the future of Community looks like. In the workflow, the data represents the number of posts posted on a monthly basis. Note that the first record contains a count of posts before 2017-01-01 and each record thereafter represents a month between 2017-01-01 and 2018-08-01. Your job is to forecast (ARIMA) in what future month Community will surpass the 1 Million post milestone using the high end of the 80% confidence interval (because we are optimists). Sound off what you got!

 An Anniversary Worth CelebratingAn Anniversary Worth Celebrating

patrick_digan
16 - Nebula
16 - Nebula
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I've got June of 2023, but that doesn't agree with the output so I may have overlooked something...
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kat
12 - Quasar
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Challenge #132.PNG
neilgallen
12 - Quasar

I'm with everyone else. Different date result.

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workflow.PNGresults window.PNG

 

ckings
7 - Meteor
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Unsure on this one. I got June 2023 coming in at 1009155.422276 posts. Wasn't a match to the projected answer so excited to see what the answer is! May have my configuration wrong? 
wk132.PNG
JoeM
Alteryx Alumni (Retired)

Post updated (new expected answer matching above users)! I forgot to include the monthly data as a part of the running total.

.Face PalmFace Palm

danilang
18 - Pollux
18 - Pollux

What they said!

 

Spoiler
June, 2023

solution 132.png

Dan

pjdit
8 - Asteroid

Fun Challenge..  first time I've used those tools.  always good to learn new tools..

 

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Challenge_132_Spoiler.JPG
CharlieS
17 - Castor
17 - Castor

 

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I felt like doing some date formatting.
132.png








TylerNa
9 - Comet

I'm curious to see/know how close this prediction ends up being!

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Alteryx WC132TN.png