There is evidence supporting the fact the fact that the Superbowl is less predictable. I used a linear regression model, but I wouldn't mind knowing which models I should use under which circumstances. Solution attached,
Standard predictive analysis here. While I'd love to be snarky and claim that I only used offensive stats because the Pats have no defense, the real reason is in the p-values. They were statistically significant.
I explored whether removing some "outlier" games had any impact - and they resulted in worse p-values, so I went with all of the data excepting the superbowl games for modelling.
Oh, and FLY EAGLES FLY. Though I am actually a Giants fan ;)
Challenge #103 resolved