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Alteryx Machine Learning Discussions

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Preditive Tools Setup

Cpirino
8 - Asteroid
‎03-22-2023 08:27 AM

Using the Alteryx ETS model, I try to make a sales projection for January 2023 based on a two-year history, but the result is far from reality. In fact, the result is very close to the value of the previous month (December), which is a month with seasonality.

Can someone guide me on how to adjust the model to obtain a more accurate projection?

Fluxo Teste Preditive 2.yxmd
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martinding
13 - Pulsar
‎03-25-2023 05:14 AM

Hi @Cpirino,

 

Here is the approach I took:

1. Investigate the data using TS Plot. Seems to suggest an additive trend and seasonality.

martinding_2-1679746305291.png

2. Change the Model Type settings from Auto to Additive.

martinding_3-1679746382880.png

3. The result seems more reasonable.

martinding_1-1679746266172.png

 

 

Fluxo Teste Preditive 2.yxmd
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